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10 markets · every one publishes its rules before trading.

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scienceLive

Will SpaceX fly a crewed Starship mission before 2028?

38%
Yes 38¢No 62¢
$42.88 Vol532d
cryptoLive

Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin by market capitalisation before 2028?

13%
Yes 13¢No 87¢
$13.70 Vol532d
businessLive

Will Apple ship an AR headset under $1,500 before 2028?

34%
Yes 34¢No 66¢
$36.00 Vol7%532d
economicsLive

Will US CPI inflation fall below 2.0% year-over-year before July 2027?

44%
Yes 44¢No 56¢
$45.02 Vol1%349d
sportsLive

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

23%
Yes 23¢No 77¢
$27.60 Vol3%316d
weatherLive

Will 2026 be confirmed as the hottest year on record?

71%
Yes 71¢No 29¢
$83.65 Vol1%182d
cultureLive

Will any film gross over $2B worldwide during 2026?

27%
Yes 27¢No 73¢
$26.00 Vol10%167d
cryptoLive

Will Bitcoin close above $150,000 on 31 December 2026?

41%
Yes 41¢No 59¢
$47.86 Vol2%167d
politicsLive

Will the Republicans hold the US House after the 2026 midterms?

54%
Yes 54¢No 46¢
$54.75 Vol3%109d
economicsLive

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by 25bps or more at its September 2026 meeting?

69%
Yes 69¢No 31¢
$72.54 Vol7%62d