Will 2026 be confirmed as the hottest year on record?

YES if the described event objectively occurs on or before the trading close, as reported by the primary source. NO if it does not occur by that time. INVALID only if no authoritative report is available and the fallback source cannot determine the outcome.

Sources

• Associated Press ↗
• Reuters (fallback) ↗

If invalid

No authoritative report from the primary or fallback source within 7 days of the trading close.

YES pays 50.0¢ · NO pays 50.0¢.

Challenge window: 24h after a result is proposed.