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Will Apple ship an AR headset under $1,500 before 2028?

33%chance6% today$36.99 Vol

Resolves from the primary source listed below once the outcome is objectively determined.

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Resolution rules

v1 · 7d1b1c66ff

YES if the described event objectively occurs on or before the trading close, as reported by the primary source. NO if it does not occur by that time. INVALID only if no authoritative report is available and the fallback source cannot determine the outcome.

Sources

If invalid

No authoritative report from the primary or fallback source within 7 days of the trading close.

YES pays 50.0¢ · NO pays 50.0¢.

Challenge window: 24h after a result is proposed.

Trade

Timeline

  1. open
    5/17/2026, 12:05:54 PM
  2. scheduled
    5/17/2026, 6:05:54 AM
  3. approved
    5/17/2026, 12:05:54 AM
  4. review
    5/16/2026, 6:05:54 PM